New lithium-air battery design shows promise
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● Mexico has a large and diverse renewable energy resource base. Given the right mix of policies, Mexico
has the potential to attract large-scale investment in renewables that can help diversify its energy
supply. Increased renewable energy use would also set Mexico on a pathway toward significantly
reducing its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. However, development has been limited to date.
● Under current plans, the share of modern renewable energy in total final energy consumption (TFEC) is
forecast to increase from 4.4% in 2010 (base year of this analysis) to 10% in 2030.
According to REmap 2030, Mexico has the potential to increase this share to 21% by 2030. This implies
a threefold growth in total renewable energy use in absolute terms from 0.5 exajoules (EJ) to 1.5 EJ in 2010-30.
● By 2030, Mexico could generate up to 46% of its electricity each year, or 280 terawatt-hours (TWh),
from renewable sources. This compares with 18% using business-as-usual developments (116 TWh/
year). To achieve a 46% share of renewables in electricity generation, the country is likely to see the
greatest deployment in wind (30 gigawatts (GW)) and solar photovoltaic (PV) (30 GW). Together
these could account for 26% of total power generation in 2030. Small and large hydropower (26 GW)
could contribute 12% of total power generation, with geothermal energy supplying 5% (4.5 GW) and
biomass 2.5% (4 GW).
● If renewables uptake were accelerated, all traditional uses of biomass for cooking or heating in the
buildings sector would be replaced by modern forms of renewable energy. Total biomass consumption
in all end-use sectors for heating or as transport fuels could reach 685 petajoules (PJ) by 2030. This
represents more than one third of total renewable energy use. Total installed capacity of solar thermal
applications for heating/cooling in buildings and industry would amount to 33 GW, making up almost
one tenth of the country's renewable energy consumption.
● Renewables can be an important driver for diversifying Mexico's energy supply. Renewable energy has
the potential to reduce Mexico's total coal demand by 62%, natural gas by 21% and oil by 6% compared
to business as usual to 2030. As a result, total natural gas demand would grow by 115% in 2010-2030
compared to 175% under business as usual.
● Accelerating Mexico's uptake of renewable energy could result in savings of 7.2 US dollars (USD) per
megawatt-hour (MWh) compared to the equivalent new capacity with conventional generation. This
saving would equate to 9% of the production cost of natural gas-fired power generation in 2030.
● The result of this higher renewable energy uptake is an annual net savings of USD 1.6 billion in Mexico's
total energy system cost by 2030. Meanwhile, if the benefits resulting from lower harm to health
and reduced carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are taken into account, savings could amount to USD
4.6 billion and 11.6 billion respectively each year.
Source: International Renewable Energy Agency: Renewable Energy Prospects – Mexico, May 2015
Monty Bannerman
ArcStar Energy
+1-646-402-5076
www.arcstarenergy.com
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The House voted to move forward with a bill to reauthorize the U.S. Export-Import Bank in a bipartisan effort to bypass conservatives who have blocked the bank from financing companies' overseas sales for almost four months.
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Crude oil's collapse is bringing back memories of the decade of low prices that started in 1985 when Saudi Arabia began targeting market share.
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Cross-over increasingly acknowledged to be in sight.
Brazil's real declined for a third day after the central bank said it aims to bring inflation to target "over the monetary-policy horizon," backing down from a commitment to meet its inflation goal in 2016.
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No carbon, but still can’t get past the elephant in the room that they are too expensive to build and too expensive to refurb or clean up their waste.
Nice to see they can just shutter these sites and walk away from them!
Hedge funds increased bullish oil wagers on speculation that falling investment will diminish the global supply glut.
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By Wes Goodman
U.S. banks are gorging on Treasuries in the latest sign investors expect the Federal Reserve to postpone raising interest rates.
Commercial lenders boosted their holdings to a record $2.15 trillion at the end of last month, based on Fed data. The stake is almost double the amount owned by China, the biggest U.S. foreign creditor. Treasuries have been advancing since the middle of June, with 10-year yields dipping below 2 percent this week, on speculation the absence of inflation means policy makers will defer raising rates.
"As to why they're holding all these Treasuries, the view of the Fed has changed," said Ali Jalai, who trades bonds in Singapore at Bank of Nova Scotia, one of the 22 primary dealers that trade directly with the Fed. "Maybe they're not going to raise rates this year."
Benchmark 10-year note yields were little changed at 2.01 percent as of 7 a.m. in New York, according to Bloomberg Bond Trader data. The price of the 2 percent security due in August 2025 was 99 29/32. The yield may fall to 1.75 percent by year-end, Jalai said.
Treasuries returned 2.1 percent this year through Thursday, after gaining 6.2 percent in 2014, based on Bloomberg World Bond Indexes.
Investors have been reducing forecasts for a Fed rate increase since August as inflation stagnates in the world's biggest economy. U.S. consumer prices fell in September by the most since January, a government report showed Thursday.
Economists predict data Friday will show industrial production fell last month and a gauge of job openings slipped from a record high in August, based on Bloomberg surveys. The Treasury is scheduled on Friday to release figures on overseas holdings of U.S debt and other assets for August.
Now is the time to seek higher returns outside the Treasury market, said Will Tseng, a bond portfolio manager for Mirae Asset Global Investments.
"The Fed won't hike for the next few months, but we're still in a recovery path" in the U.S., said Tseng, who's based in Taipei. "That's the best position for high-yield and equity assets." Mirae, which has $75 billion in assets, has been adding dollar-denominated high-yield bonds and emerging-market local-currency debt in October, he said.
The probability the Fed will increase rates by its December policy meeting has dropped to 30 percent from 70 percent odds at the start of August, according to futures data compiled by Bloomberg. The calculations are based on the assumption the effective fed funds rate will average 0.375 percent after liftoff.
To contact the reporter on this story:
Wes Goodman in Singapore at +65-6212-1568 or
wgoodman@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Garfield Reynolds at +61-2-9777-8695 or
greynolds1@bloomberg.net
Nicholas Reynolds, Jonathan Annells
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The U.S. budget deficit shrank to the smallest since 2007 as stronger individual and corporate tax revenue boosted receipts to a record.
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Envision Energy, the world's leading smart energy solution provider, has completed the acquisition of a controlling stake in a portfolio of more than 600 MW developed by ViveEnergia (www.viveenergia.com), one of Mexico's leading firms in the renewable energy sector, with the aim to commissioning its first wind farm by the end of 2016.
"Mexico is one of the most promising markets in the Americas for wind power generation in the coming decade, not only a result of the energy reform but also given its untapped wind resources, viable projects and off-takers, as well as the interest of equity sponsors and lenders ," said Felix Zhang , Envision's Executive Director.
"This investment is considered China's largest direct investment in Mexico in the renewable energy space and will take advantage of bilateral cooperation agreements and lines of credit that are in place ," said Rafael Valdez Mingramm , Envision's Director for Latin America & the Caribbean , during the 9th China Latin America Business Summit that took place in Guadalajara, Mexico and ended today.
Under the terms of the strategic alliance entered with ViveEnergia, the consortium will bring current portfolio into a 'ready to build' stage by the end of this year and initiate construction of the first wind farm early next year. A goal of 1.5GW of projects developed and in operation has been set by 2020.
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