Tuesday, September 28, 2010

India tunes the FIT to their own needs

 

 

From: Bloomberg New Energy Finance [mailto:news@newenergyfinance.com]
Sent: Tuesday, September 28, 2010 11:03 AM
To: Monty Bannerman
Subject: Energy: Week in Review

 

Bloomberg New Energy Finance

Week in Review

21-27 September 2010   Vol VI - Issue 53

 

<<< Previous editions | Find out more about the Bloomberg New Energy Finance News and Monthly Briefing Service >>>

Your free round-up of this week's clean energy investment news

 

This Week

INDIA LOOKS TO HARVEST THE LATE-MOVER ADVANTAGE IN SOLAR

The first set of projects under India's ambitious National Solar Mission went under the hammer last week. Initial trends show that the capacity bid for is at least three times more than the 620MW that is to be awarded, though the final numbers could show a much higher multiple.

There are however no alarm bells going off in the Indian finance ministry. The government has what can be referred to as a late-mover advantage, which has allowed it to avoid the excesses seen in some European countries.

There are a few things which stand out in the auction of India's first batch of solar projects, to be set up by 2013, and involving an investment of over USD 2bn.

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Next-generation biofuel capacity: from now to 2015

The research note will examine global next generation capacity between 2010 and 2015, the subsidy landscape, and biomass supply among other relevant issues. It will also include some analysis on bioenergy levelised costs for key technologies such as enzymatic hydrolysis and gasification.

For starters, the auction is primarily about large solar thermal. Bids for 470MW of capacity have been invited. This is higher than the total commissioned capacity of 437MW of solar thermal in Spain, the world lead, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance data.

On the PV side, there are just 150MW of capacity on offer in India's first round through 30 projects of 5MW each to be set up by 2013. That is a small blip in the capacity being added globally. Bloomberg New Energy Finance has projected a PV capacity addition of 14GW-to-19GW in 2010. Up to 1.2GW of new installations are expected in the Czech Republic alone this year. Germany has installed over 3GW of PV in the first half of 2010.

Secondly, there is an element of market price discovery built into the process. The attractive feed-in-tariffs will now cease to matter since the 400-odd applicants will have to offer the largest discounts to get selected, a formula that India has emulated from other countries which have married feed-in-tariffs with reverse-bidding.

Thirdly, the government has limited its own, and the consumer's bill, for solar power by ensuring initial support for only pre-defined solar capacity instead of the anyone-past-the-goalpost kind of a scheme which has led to runaway growth of solar power in parts of Europe.

Fourthly, India has mandated the use of domestically made PV modules in this phase and domestically made cells and modules in the next phase. For solar thermal projects, the rules mandate a 30% local content, both moves reflecting the worrying trend of increasing protectionism in the clean energy sector.

Elsewhere, during the week, there has been a spurt of announcements from various parts of the world committing more renewable power in the overall energy mix. Scotland announced its intention to get 80% of its power from renewable sources by 2020, more than any published estimate from a European Union member state.

California regulators approved rules that would require utilities to get a third of their power from renewable sources by 2020. In US, Senator Jeff Bingaman, a New Mexico Democrat, introduced the Renewable Energy Standard Bill which would require utilities to source 15% of their power from clean energy by 2021.

The island nation of Jamaica also unveiled a policy that proposes a 20% clean power mix by 2020.

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NEX vs AMEX Oil, Nasdaq and S&P 500

 

AMEX Oil, Nasdaq and S&P 500 rebased
30 Dec 2002 = 100

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, AMEX


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EU-ETS PHASE II CARBON PRICE

 

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance


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 Information

 

Bloomberg New Energy Finance's latest podcast reviewing the week's news on clean energy will be published on Wednesday 29 September. 



To access a PDF version of the Week in Review, just click here.

 

News Stories

Bloomberg New Energy Finance has published 118 news stories covering investment in the clean energy sector in the last week.

Find out more about the Bloomberg New Energy Finance News and Monthly Briefing Service .

 

Dealwatch Summary

Asset Finance

$229.7m

3

M&A

$92.7m

2

VC/PE

$145.5m

1

 

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The seminar in Madrid, Spain will focus on the latest developments in EU ETS policy, with an emphasis on Phase III and its impact on regional carbon markets. These interactive seminars are designed to provide deeper insights into the EU ETS and generate thought-provoking discussion and debate amongst senior executives, investors, traders and decision-makers.

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 Most Recent Research

European PV projects in 2011 and their equity returns

You do not have access to this note, which is part of the Insight service. Click here to contact your sales representative.

  27 Sep 2010 - Research Note

Over the past few weeks several governments have announced their PV feed in tariff cuts for 2011, including the Czech Republic, Germany, France, Italy and Spain. A key question for the industry is how these changes will affect solar energy markets. This research note analyses for the various Europea... »

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US waste-to-energy: Bioenergy Insight Call Q3 2010

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  23 Sep 2010 - Conference Call Presentation

Bloomberg New Energy Finance will closely look at the US waste-to-energy industry in this Q3 Bioenergy Insight Call. It will examine the current market structure, the legislative landscape, MSW supply projections and the economics of turning waste into higher value products. »

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Bingaman's RES: can it pass and does it even matter?

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  23 Sep 2010 - Analyst Reaction

Senator Bingaman released on 21 September a revised bill to implement a federal renewable electricity standard mandating that an effective 10.5% of total US electricity consumption (15% of applicable consumption) by 2021 should come from renewable sources and energy efficiency. Due to its lenient ta... »

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United States REC Markets Bi-Weekly 20 September 2010

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  22 Sep 2010 - Analyst Reaction

If ever there was a single case study to encapsulate the idiosyncrasies and debates of the US REC markets, the circumstances around an Ohio biomass plant would be it. The outcome presents substantial risk to PJM Tier 1 developers. »

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